The most consequential fact about the current war on Iran is not the eventual fate of any government in Tehran, nor the precise terms of any final communiqué, but the manner in which coercion is now being organized. Whatever the war’s outcome, the conflict has already normalized three departures from the post–Cold War settlement: the use of a globally indispensable chokepoint as a bargaining instrument; the conversion of sanctions, blockade and frozen assets into instruments of wartime termination rather than merely prewar pressure; and the emergence of a Gulf-led diplomacy that treats American protection as one input among several rather than the fixed premise of regional security. These shifts are structural. They will not be reversed by a ceasefire, a signature ceremony, or even a change of administration.
Continue reading How and why the War on Iran Has Already Altered the International Order ...
Posts
No comments:
Write comments