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Wednesday, April 08, 2026

When Language Becomes the End of Civilization

    Wednesday, April 08, 2026   No comments

"A whole civilization will die tonight, never to be brought back again." With these words, posted to a social media platform by the most powerful political figure in the Western-led international order, something fundamental shifted. Whether intended as strategic coercion, rhetorical bluster, or negotiation leverage, the statement operates at a level far beyond immediate policy or tactical posturing. It functions as a declaration—one that exposes a rupture in the very architecture that has provided moral and legal coherence to global affairs for seven decades. The significance lies not in whether the threat was carried out, but in the fact that it was uttered at all by the center of a civilization that claims to be defined by restraint, rule of law, and the protection of human dignity.

Under international legal frameworks, the definition of terrorism and crimes against humanity explicitly encompasses threats to commit violent acts, not solely their execution. This is not a technicality; it is a foundational principle recognizing that the psychological, social, and political damage of a threat can be as corrosive as the act itself. 

But the deeper consequence transcends legal categorization. Civilizations endure not through military supremacy or economic dominance alone, but through the alignment of their conceptual values with their practical exercise of power. The modern Western-led order has long justified its authority through a professed commitment to proportionality, distinction between civilian and military targets, and the belief that power must be constrained by principle. When the center of that order employs language that openly discards these boundaries—threatening total destruction, dehumanizing populations, and declaring the erasure of civilizations—it  evacuates the conceptual foundation that gave those norms meaning. The language itself becomes evidence of decline.

This is the crucial insight of an article published recently about this event: the statement functions as an explicit admission that values are instrumental, not foundational. When political or military benefits are prioritized over the principles long propagated as universal, the gap between rhetoric and commitment is laid bare. The decadence exposed is structural. A civilization that can no longer reconcile what it professes with what it practices has entered a phase of terminal disjunction. The utterance matters not because it changes policy, but because it reveals that policy is no longer constrained by the value system it claims to uphold. In this light, language is not ephemeral in geopolitics—it is constitutive. Words create worlds, and when the words of power abandon the discourse of civilization, the decline is no longer a matter of speculation. It is documented in the declaration itself.

The article argues that to say that a civilization died today is not to announce its immediate disappearance. Civilizations do not vanish overnight; their decline is slow, accretive, and cumulative. But there are rare moments when the trajectory becomes identifiable in real time. This is such a moment. The threshold has been crossed—not by an external enemy or an unavoidable catastrophe, but by a declaration from within. 

When the language of power abandons the discourse of civilization, the decline is no longer theoretical. It is written in the words themselves, and in the silence that follows when values are revealed to be negotiable. 


Read the article... Vile it may be, factual nonetheless: A civilization died today



Monday, April 06, 2026

Media Review: NYT on How America’s Centralized Rule Accelerates a World Forged by Iran’s Decades of Systemic Resilience

    Monday, April 06, 2026   No comments

 The Strait of Power

A recent analysis published in prominent American media delivers a sobering reassessment of the U.S.-Israeli attack on Iran. Rather than triggering the rapid collapse long anticipated in Western policy circles, the conflict has laid bare a deeper structural reality: Iran’s strategic endurance is not the product of temporary political maneuvering, but of a governance architecture meticulously constructed over four decades. Meanwhile, the United States finds itself constrained by a decision-making model increasingly concentrated in executive hands, one that repeatedly overrides institutional statecraft in favor of unilateral, short-term interventions. The result is a geopolitical reversal that Washington has struggled to anticipate.

For years, Western capitals operated under the assumption that Iran’s political and military architecture was brittle, vulnerable to economic pressure, diplomatic isolation, or targeted force. The prevailing narrative suggested the system could be dismantled in days or months. Yet the current crisis has demonstrated the opposite. Iran’s ability to exert decisive control over the Strait of Hormuz without resorting to a full blockade reveals a deeply institutionalized strategic doctrine. Over forty years, Tehran has cultivated layered capabilities in asymmetric warfare, maritime deterrence, insurance market psychology, and regional diplomatic coordination. This is not crisis improvisation; it is the output of a system engineered for strategic patience, where military, economic, and diplomatic instruments operate in sustained, interlocking harmony. The West’s narrative of fragility has collided with the reality of institutionalized resilience.

In sharp contrast, the American response reflects a governance model increasingly detached from long-term strategic continuity. Decision-making has become highly centralized, driven by one-man rule that routinely sidelines interagency consensus, institutional memory, and diplomatic frameworks. This top-down approach treats complex geopolitical ecosystems as problems solvable through executive decree or rapid military posturing. The result is a foreign policy that burns through diplomatic capital, fractures allied coordination, and substitutes systemic governance with personalized authority. Where Iran has spent generations embedding strategic redundancy and adaptive capacity into its state apparatus, the United States has increasingly outsourced long-term planning to the immediacy of centralized command, eroding the very institutional foundations that once sustained its global leadership.

The analytical core of the published view centers on how Iran’s selective control of the Strait of Hormuz has already rewritten global energy dynamics. By creating a persistent environment of risk through measured strikes, drone operations, and maritime deterrence, Iran has triggered a collapse in commercial insurance coverage and a sharp decline in shipping traffic, even while the waterway remains technically open. Modern economies do not merely require oil; they require predictable, insurable, and timely delivery. As premiums spike, shipping routes fracture, and governments treat energy procurement as a strategic vulnerability rather than a market transaction, the old Gulf order has unraveled. For decades, the region operated on a simple formula: producers exported, markets priced, and Washington guaranteed passage. That architecture is now collapsing under the weight of miscalculation.

Asian economies, deeply integrated into Gulf energy infrastructure, face immediate inflationary and trade pressures. Europe confronts the reality that energy security can no longer be assumed. Meanwhile, the United States is trapped by an asymmetry it helped create: protecting every single vessel requires a permanent, resource-draining military presence, while Iran needs only occasional strikes to make the entire insurance and logistics market unviable. As French leadership has publicly acknowledged, securing the strait now requires coordination with Tehran, not coercion against it.

This disruption is accelerating a quiet but profound realignment. China, Russia, and Iran do not require a formal alliance to reshape global energy flows; their strategic incentives naturally converge. Together, they could control nearly a third of the world’s accessible oil and gas, creating a de facto architecture that marginalizes Western economic leverage. The United States now faces a stark choice: commit to an indefinite military campaign to reclaim absolute control of the strait, or accept a new energy order where Washington no longer dictates the terms. Neither option preserves the status quo, but the latter acknowledges a structural shift that centralized decision-making has repeatedly failed to anticipate.

The crisis has laid bare a fundamental asymmetry. Iran’s endurance is not accidental; it is the product of four decades of systemic institution-building, strategic patience, and adaptive governance. America’s vulnerability, conversely, stems from a political culture that increasingly substitutes institutional continuity with executive immediacy, sacrificing long-term strategic coherence for short-term tactical assertions. The war has not shattered Iran. Instead, it has accelerated the emergence of a multipolar reality where resilience, not rupture, dictates the future. If the United States continues to prioritize one-man rule over systemic statecraft, it will not merely cede influence over global energy—it will witness the institutional foundations of its own global role erode in real time.


Tehran Denounces U.S. Aggression, Vows Strategic Response Amid Escalating Tensions

    Monday, April 06, 2026   No comments

In a series of pointed statements, Iranian officials have sharply criticized recent U.S. actions in the region, characterizing them as acts of terrorism that have effectively removed diplomacy from the American agenda. The Islamic Republic's Foreign Ministry has articulated a firm stance, asserting that negotiations cannot proceed under ultimatums or threats of war crimes, while simultaneously preparing a calibrated diplomatic response to be unveiled at a strategically chosen moment.

War on Iran: Iranian Children killed and injured

Central to Tehran's recent accusations is the controversial "Isfahan operation." Iranian authorities have suggested that this military maneuver may have been a diversionary tactic aimed at stealing uranium, though they emphasize that the attempt ultimately failed. The Foreign Ministry described the operation as a "scandal and a disaster" for the United States, expressing hope that Washington has drawn lessons from what it termed a reckless and counterproductive venture. This incident, according to Iranian officials, exemplifies a broader pattern: the U.S. prioritizes the preservation of what Tehran refers to as "the Israeli entity" over genuine regional security, thereby destabilizing the Persian Gulf and undermining prospects for peaceful resolution.

The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) Naval Force Command has reinforced Iran's strategic posture with a definitive declaration regarding the Strait of Hormuz. Commanders stated unequivocally that the strategic waterway "will not return to its previous status, especially for the American and [Israeli] enemy." The IRGC Naval Force is reportedly finalizing operational preparations to implement a new security framework in the Persian Gulf, signaling a long-term shift in regional maritime dynamics. This stance reflects Tehran's commitment to asserting sovereign control over critical chokepoints while deterring what it perceives as hostile naval presence.

Regarding diplomatic pathways, Iran's Foreign Ministry spokesman confirmed that Tehran has prepared comprehensive responses to a 15-point U.S. proposal aimed at ending the conflict. The plan, relayed through intermediaries including Pakistan and other friendly states, was dismissed by Iranian officials as containing "excessive, unusual and unreasonable demands." While acknowledging certain acceptable elements, Iran has formulated its own counter-proposals grounded in national interests and clearly defined red lines. The ministry emphasized that details of Iran's response will be disclosed only when deemed necessary, underscoring a strategy of deliberate, controlled communication.

Tehran has also expressed skepticism toward temporary ceasefire arrangements. Iranian officials argue that a short-term pause in hostilities would merely provide aggressors with time to regroup and prepare for further escalation. Instead, Iran calls for a definitive and comprehensive end to the war, with guarantees against its repetition. This position aligns with broader regional concerns about cyclical violence and the urgent need for sustainable peace frameworks that address root causes rather than symptoms.

The legal and moral dimensions of the conflict have drawn unprecedented scrutiny from the international legal community. More than one hundred U.S.-based international law experts, professors, and practitioners have issued a joint statement warning that the United States' military campaign against Iran constitutes a clear violation of the United Nations Charter and raises serious concerns about potential war crimes. The scholars emphasize that the initiation of hostilities on February 28 lacked authorization from the UN Security Council and was not justified by self-defense against an imminent armed attack, thereby breaching fundamental principles of international law governing the use of force.

These legal experts have expressed particular alarm over reported strikes targeting civilian infrastructure, including schools, health facilities, water desalination plants, and energy installations. They cite the attack on a primary school in Minab, which reportedly killed at least 175 people, many of them children, as a particularly troubling incident that may violate international humanitarian law. The letter also condemns rhetoric from senior U.S. officials that appears to dismiss legal constraints on military operations, including statements describing rules of engagement as "stupid" and prioritizing "lethality" over "legality." Threats to destroy power plants and other infrastructure essential to civilian survival, they warn, could constitute war crimes if carried out.

The experts further caution that systematic efforts to weaken institutional safeguards within the U.S. Defense Department—including the removal of senior military lawyers and the abolition of civilian harm mitigation teams—risk enabling further violations of international law. They urge U.S. officials to reaffirm their commitment to the UN Charter, international humanitarian law, and human rights law, and call on allied nations to uphold their obligations not to assist in internationally wrongful acts.

These concerns from the legal community coincide with sharp criticism from within the United States Congress. Multiple U.S. senators have publicly denounced President Trump's threats to target Iranian infrastructure as potential war crimes. Senator Chris Murphy of Connecticut stated unequivocally that threatening to destroy infrastructure essential to civilian life constitutes a clear war crime, warning that such actions would kill thousands of innocent people and permanently stain America's global standing. Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer echoed these concerns, describing the President's rhetoric as unhinged and warning that threatening possible war crimes alienates allies and betrays American values. Progressive Senator Bernie Sanders joined the chorus of criticism, characterizing the President's statements as the ravings of a dangerous and mentally unbalanced individual and calling on Congress to act immediately to end the war.

These domestic and international criticisms come as reports indicate that more than 1,600 civilians in Iran, including at least 244 children, have been killed since U.S. and Israeli airstrikes began in late February. Iranian officials point to these casualties as further evidence that the U.S. campaign disregards civilian life and international legal norms. Tehran argues that threats to escalate attacks on civilian infrastructure only reinforce the perception that Washington favors coercion over dialogue and is willing to sacrifice regional stability for short-term tactical gains.

Meanwhile, reports of discussions around a potential 45-day ceasefire—potentially leading to a permanent resolution—have been met with cautious scrutiny in Tehran. Iranian authorities stress that any meaningful de-escalation must be built on mutual respect, adherence to international law, and recognition of Iran's legitimate security concerns. They emphasize that diplomatic progress cannot be achieved under the shadow of threats or ultimatums.

As the region navigates this precarious juncture, Iran's messaging remains consistent: diplomacy must be conducted without preconditions or threats, regional security cannot be sacrificed for unilateral interests, and any path forward must acknowledge the realities of a transformed strategic landscape. With its diplomatic response prepared and its military posture adjusted, Tehran signals readiness to engage—but strictly on terms that safeguard its sovereignty and contribute to lasting stability in the Persian Gulf. The growing chorus of criticism from U.S. lawmakers and the unprecedented warning from international legal scholars add new dimensions to the crisis, highlighting deep divisions not only between nations but within the American political and legal establishments themselves over the conduct, legality, and consequences of the war on Iran.


More details about US-Israel plans to overthrow the government of Iran revealed

    Monday, April 06, 2026   No comments

Trump admits US sent arms to Iran protesters but says Kurds kept the weapons. On 5 April, 2026, US President Trump admitted for the first time during an interview with Fox News that the United States attempted to ship "a lot of guns" to anti-government protesters in Iran. 


While confirming the intent to arm the uprising that began in late 2025, Trump claimed the operation failed because the Kurds, who were used as the delivery channel, "kept the weapons" for themselves instead of passing them to the demonstrators. 

This blunt disclosure not only provides the Iranian government with direct evidence of US interference but also publicly blames the US’s Kurdish allies for the missing arms.

Iranian Kurdish groups reject Trump claim they received US weapons to aid Iran riots

Leaders of Iranian Kurdish parties have denied reports that they were given weapons by the US to support riots inside Iran, contradicting claims made by US President Donald Trump. 

According to media reports, Siamand Moeini, a senior figure in the armed Kurdistan Free Life Party (PJAK), said the group had not received any weapons and declined to speak for others. Hana Yazdanpanah, foreign relations coordinator for the Kurdistan Freedom Party (PAK), added that their arsenal remains limited to older weapons used in the fight against ISIS and those abandoned after the group’s defeat. Both parties insisted they have not received any support from the US.



Saturday, April 04, 2026

Media review for Week 1 of April: When Entertainment Meets Escalation—Examining Trump's War Decisions According to Western Media

    Saturday, April 04, 2026   No comments

As the first week of April unfolds, a growing chorus of international and domestic media voices is raising urgent questions about the intersection of performance and power in the White House. At the center of this scrutiny is a fundamental concern: whether a leader whose public persona was forged in the spectacle of reality television possesses the temperament, discipline, and strategic clarity required to make decisions of war and peace.

A prominent British perspective comes from The Telegraph, which argues that the United States is rapidly drifting toward the characteristics of a "banana republic." The piece contends that the apparent tolerance for conflicts of interest, the blending of public office with private gain, and the casual approach to financial disclosure norms are eroding investor confidence and damaging America's standing as a reliable global partner. The article paints a portrait of an administration where access and influence appear transactional, and where policy announcements sometimes seem to precede—or coincide suspiciously with—market movements that benefit those with advance knowledge. While the White House has forcefully denied any wrongdoing, the piece asks why such patterns have not triggered more rigorous institutional scrutiny.


This concern about governance is increasingly intertwined with questions about military judgment. Several analyses circulating this week suggest that the conduct of recent conflicts reveals a decision-making process driven more by impulse and image management than by coherent strategy. Critics note that statements regarding military actions often emerge through social media posts rather than formal channels, creating volatility in markets and uncertainty among allies. The result, some observers argue, is a foreign policy that feels less like statecraft and more like a high-stakes performance, where the next dramatic announcement matters more than the long-term consequences.

A recurring theme in this coverage is the contrast between the skills required to host a television program and those demanded of a commander-in-chief. Television rewards immediacy, conflict, and memorable one-liners; statecraft demands patience, nuance, and the ability to weigh complex, often contradictory information. When the tools of entertainment—simplification, spectacle, personal branding—are applied to matters of war, the risks multiply. Analysts point to instances where escalatory rhetoric appears designed for domestic consumption rather than diplomatic effect, potentially closing off avenues for de-escalation and complicating efforts by career officials to manage crises.

Public sentiment, as reflected in recent polling cited across multiple outlets, suggests growing unease. Many Americans express concern that military engagements lack clear objectives or exit strategies, and that decisions are made without sufficient consultation or transparency. This disconnect between leadership style and public expectation has fueled a broader debate about accountability. If policy is announced via social media and adjusted based on real-time reaction, who is responsible for the outcomes? And how can democratic oversight function when the traditional channels of communication and deliberation are bypassed?

Some commentators draw attention to the institutional dimensions of this challenge. They note that agencies traditionally tasked with ensuring market integrity and governmental accountability have seen their authority diminished or their leadership replaced with figures more aligned with the current administration's preferences. This, they argue, creates a permissive environment where questionable behavior faces fewer checks, further blurring the line between public service and private advantage.

Amid these criticisms, a counter-narrative persists among supporters, who view the same traits as assets: decisiveness over deliberation, disruption over deference, and a willingness to challenge established norms. For them, the spectacle is not a bug but a feature—a way to communicate directly with the public and bypass what they see as a hostile or out-of-touch media establishment.

What emerges from this week's media landscape is not a consensus, but a heightened awareness of stakes. The question is no longer merely whether a leader's style is unconventional, but whether that style is compatible with the sober responsibilities of nuclear command, alliance management, and the solemn duty to send citizens into harm's way only when absolutely necessary. As conflicts evolve and their human and economic costs become more tangible, the pressure to reconcile performance with prudence is likely to intensify.

In the end, the most persistent critique across these varied sources is not about politics or policy in the abstract, but about fitness for a specific, weighty role. Can a nation afford to treat its most consequential decisions as content? Can global stability be maintained when the line between headline and strategy grows thin? These are the questions that this week's media review leaves with its readers—not as partisan accusations, but as essential inquiries for any democracy navigating an era where attention is currency and power is performative.

Wednesday, April 01, 2026

Iranian President Pazeshkian: "To the people of the United States of America"

    Wednesday, April 01, 2026   No comments

In a letter addressed to the American public, Iran's President Masoud Pezeshkian invites people in the United States.

Key statements from the letter:

In a letter addressed to the American public, Iran's President Masoud Pezeshkian invites people in the United States to look beyond political rhetoric and reconsider the realities of Iran's past, present, and aspirations for a future defined not by confrontation, but by truth, dignity, and mutual understanding.

Iran's President Masoud Pezeshkian

He emphasizes that in a world shaped by competing narratives and deep geopolitical tensions, the relationship between Iran and the United States remains one of the most misunderstood. Iran, he states, has never in its modern history chosen the path of aggression, expansion, colonialism, or domination, and has never initiated any war.

Pezeshkian traces Iranian distrust toward America to the 1953 CIA-backed coup, support for Saddam Hussein during the Iran–Iraq war, and decades of sanctions and military pressure. He describes recent attacks on Iranian infrastructure as war crimes that will destabilize the region beyond Iran's borders.

He challenges Americans to question whose interests the conflict serves, accusing Israel of using the US as a proxy to fight its battles, and invites Americans to recognize Iran's resilience, development, and the achievements of Iranians globally.

The letter concludes that the choice between confrontation and engagement is fateful—not just for the two nations, but for future generations.


Media Review: War on Iran, Gaza, Sudan, Energy, and Climate are the most covered News Stories of the month

    Wednesday, April 01, 2026   No comments


In an era of unprecedented information flow, the question of whose narratives dominate global discourse remains critically important. A review of current international news coverage reveals recurring themes that, while widely reported, are often framed through perspectives that marginalize the experiences and voices of communities across Africa, Asia, Latin America, and the broader Global South.

Global News Summary: Five Stories Shaping Our Moment

1. Middle East Escalation: Beyond the Headlines

Tensions involving Iran, Israel, and external powers continue to intensify, with military exchanges, diplomatic maneuvering, and regional security concerns dominating discourse. What receives less consistent attention is how communities across the region—from Tehran to Beirut to Sana'a—navigate daily life amid heightened uncertainty. Local populations are not passive observers; they maintain social networks, economic activities, and political aspirations that persist despite external pressures. The human dimension of deterrence calculations, sanctions regimes, and security doctrines often remains abstract in coverage focused on strategic posturing, yet these policies directly shape livelihoods, mobility, and access to essential services for millions.

2. Gaza and the Palestinian Question: Continuity Amid Crisis

The humanitarian situation in Gaza and the broader Palestinian territories remains acute, with displacement, infrastructure damage, and restricted access to resources affecting civilian life. Beyond immediate crisis reporting, a deeper narrative persists: the enduring Palestinian demand for self-determination, justice, and equal rights. This story is not new, nor is it isolated; it connects to broader questions of occupation, international law, and the rights of displaced peoples worldwide. When coverage focuses primarily on tactical developments or diplomatic statements without contextualizing these within decades of political struggle and legal debate, it risks obscuring the core issues that continue to drive the conflict.

3. Sudan's Overlooked Emergency

Sudan is experiencing one of the world's most severe displacement crises, with millions forced from their homes due to armed conflict, economic collapse, and humanitarian access constraints. Despite the scale of human suffering, sustained international attention has been uneven. Regional media and community-based reporters have documented the resilience of local civil society, the specific vulnerabilities of women and children, and the complex interplay of ethnic, political, and economic factors driving the conflict. A narrative centered solely on regional instability or migration pressures toward other continents misses the agency of Sudanese people working to preserve community cohesion, document abuses, and envision pathways to peace grounded in local realities.

4. Maritime Security and Global Trade: Whose Waters, Whose Interests?

Disruptions to critical shipping lanes, particularly in the Strait of Hormuz and adjacent waters, raise important questions about energy security, trade flows, and the militarization of maritime spaces. Coverage often emphasizes impacts on global markets and major economies, while the perspectives of coastal communities, small-scale traders, and developing nations dependent on stable sea routes receive less prominence. These waters are not abstract corridors of commerce; they are lived spaces where fishing communities, port workers, and regional governments have legitimate stakes in peace, environmental protection, and equitable governance. Framing maritime security primarily through the lens of great-power competition can obscure these localized interests and the potential for regional cooperation.

5. Climate Finance and Development: Promises, Power, and Priorities

Discussions around climate finance, loss and damage mechanisms, and development priorities continue to unfold in international forums. While commitments to support vulnerable nations are frequently announced, the implementation of these pledges—and the conditions attached to them—remain contentious. Many countries in the Global South emphasize that effective climate action requires not only funding but also fair terms of technology transfer, debt relief, and reform of global financial architecture to enable sustainable development. When coverage centers on the mechanics of funding pledges without examining the power dynamics that shape who decides, who benefits, and who bears risk, it can inadvertently reinforce the very asymmetries that hinder equitable climate action.



 

UAE Explores Military Role in Strait of Hormuz Operation Amid Escalating Iran Tensions

    Wednesday, April 01, 2026   No comments

The United Arab Emirates is reportedly preparing to support potential military operations to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and is lobbying for a United Nations Security Council resolution to authorize such action, according to a Wall Street Journal report citing Arab officials. If the UAE proceeds, it would become the first Gulf state to formally participate in the conflict as a combatant.

Emirati diplomats have urged the United States and military powers in Europe and Asia to form a coalition to secure the strategic waterway, which handles approximately one-fifth of global oil and liquefied natural gas shipments. According to officials familiar with the discussions, the UAE is evaluating potential military contributions, including mine-clearing operations and logistical support.

The UAE has also reportedly suggested that the United States consider occupying Iranian-held islands in the strait, including Abu Musa—a territory claimed by Abu Dhabi for decades.

The reported shift in UAE posture comes amid intensified Iranian attacks on Gulf states. On April 1, 2026, UAE air defense systems intercepted five ballistic missiles and 35 drones originating from Iran, according to the UAE Ministry of Defense. Since the onset of hostilities, UAE defenses have engaged a total of 438 ballistic missiles, 19 cruise missiles, and 2,012 drones, the ministry reported.

These attacks have resulted in casualties, including two members of the UAE Armed Forces killed while on duty, one Moroccan civilian under military contract, and nine civilians of Pakistani, Nepalese, Bangladeshi, Palestinian, and Indian nationalities. An additional 190 individuals of diverse nationalities sustained injuries ranging from minor to severe.

Iran has warned it will target civilian infrastructure in any Gulf state that supports military operations against its territory. Tehran has framed its actions as defensive responses to what it characterizes as aggression.

The UAE has framed its position around international norms, citing UN resolutions condemning Iran's attacks and disruptions to maritime traffic. The UAE Foreign Ministry stated there is "broad global consensus that freedom of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz must be preserved."

The UN Security Council recently adopted a resolution condemning Iran's attacks on Gulf Cooperation Council states and demanding an immediate cessation of hostilities. The resolution passed with 13 votes in favor and two abstentions.

While Saudi Arabia and other Gulf states have expressed support for continuing pressure on Iran's leadership, they have stopped short of committing their own militaries to direct combat operations.

Military analysts caution that reopening the Strait of Hormuz by force presents significant operational challenges. Securing the waterway would likely require control not only of maritime routes but also of adjacent coastal areas—a complex undertaking with uncertain outcomes.

"I don't think we can do it," said Rep. Adam Smith (D-WA), former chair of the House Armed Services Committee. "All Iran has to do is keep the strait under threat—one drone, one mine, one small suicide boat."

The ongoing conflict has already impacted the UAE's economy, disrupting air travel, affecting tourism, and creating uncertainty in property markets. The UAE has responded with measures including restrictions on Iranian nationals and the closure of Iranian-linked institutions in Dubai.

As diplomatic and military calculations continue, the UAE faces a consequential decision: whether to maintain its current defensive posture or take a more active role in efforts to secure one of the world's most critical energy chokepoints.


Sunday, March 29, 2026

How the UAE's Reparations Demand Opens the Door to Iran's Counterclaim

    Sunday, March 29, 2026   No comments

The Mirror of Accountability


In the fraught theater of Middle East diplomacy, a striking rhetorical pivot has emerged: the United Arab Emirates, a key U.S. ally in the Gulf, has publicly demanded that Iran pay reparations for attacks on Gulf civilians and infrastructure. Anwar Gargash, diplomatic adviser to the UAE president, stated that any political solution to Iranian attacks must include reparations for damage to vital facilities and civilians, alongside guarantees to prevent recurrence, accusing Iran of deceiving its neighbors before the war and engaging in premeditated aggression despite Gulf efforts to avoid conflict. This stance, reflecting growing Gulf frustration over the human and economic costs of the widening conflict, seeks to embed accountability into any future settlement.

In advancing this argument, the UAE has inadvertently furnished Iran with a powerful legal and moral framework to advance its own claim—one that turns the logic of reparations back upon its originators. Just days after Gargash's statement, Iran's U.N. Ambassador, Amir-Saeid Iravani, formally notified the U.N. Secretary-General that Tehran seeks compensation from the UAE, accusing it of enabling U.S. attacks against Iranian territory. In the letter, Iravani asserted that the UAE's decision to allow its territory to be used for the strikes constituted an internationally wrongful act that entailed state responsibility. Tehran further argued that the UAE had an international responsibility to provide reparation, including compensation for all material and moral damages incurred.

The Legal Symmetry of State Responsibility

At the heart of this diplomatic duel lies a foundational principle of international law: the doctrine of state responsibility. Under this framework, a state is legally accountable for internationally wrongful acts attributable to it, including facilitating the use of its territory for attacks against another sovereign state. The UAE's demand for reparations rests on the premise that Iran's attacks violated Gulf sovereignty and caused measurable harm—a premise Iran does not dispute in principle, but rather redirects. If Iranian strikes launched from its own territory warrant compensation, then, by identical legal reasoning, the use of Emirati soil, airspace, or logistical support to launch U.S. strikes against Iran constitutes a parallel wrongful act. As Iravani emphasized in subsequent complaints, Jordan, the UAE, Bahrain, Saudi Arabia, Oman, Qatar, and Kuwait were all allegedly used to facilitate these attacks, urging these governments to observe the principle of good neighbourliness and prevent the continued use of their territories against the Islamic Republic of Iran.

This is not merely rhetorical tit-for-tat. It is a strategic invocation of legal symmetry: the same standard applied to hold Iran accountable can—and should—be applied to those who enabled the aggression. The UAE's omission of this context in its public statements is telling. By demanding reparations without acknowledging that Iran's retaliatory strikes occurred within the context of a broader conflict initiated, in part, from Gulf territory, the UAE presents a one-sided narrative. However, international law does not operate on selective memory. If premeditated aggression merits compensation, then so too does the premeditated provision of territory for launching that aggression.

The Transactional Calculus: Trump, Gulf Allies, and Shifting the Burden

Enter the variable of U.S. presidential politics. Donald Trump, known for his transactional approach to foreign policy, has repeatedly signaled openness to deals that redistribute costs and benefits among regional actors. Reports indicate that several Gulf states—including the UAE, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Kuwait, and Bahrain—reportedly lobbied the U.S. government to initiate and sustain military pressure on Iran, even as some U.S. officials privately urged de-escalation. Should Trump embrace Iran's compensation claim, he could theoretically agree to the principle of reparations while shifting the financial burden onto those Gulf states deemed to have benefited from or enabled the conflict.

This would align with Trump's documented preference for making allies pay their share and leveraging economic pressure to achieve strategic outcomes. In this scenario, the UAE's demand for Iranian reparations could backfire spectacularly: rather than receiving compensation, it might find itself on the hook for paying it. The logic is elegantly circular: if the UAE insists that aggression emanating from Iranian territory creates liability, then aggression emanating through Emirati territory must create equivalent liability. A transactional president, focused on outcomes rather than ideological consistency, could seize upon this symmetry to broker a settlement that holds Gulf allies financially accountable for their role in the conflict.

"Be Careful What You Wish For": The Strategic Peril of Selective Justice

The UAE's rhetorical gambit thus embodies a classic strategic hazard: the weaponization of a principle that can be turned against its wielder. By foregrounding reparations as a non-negotiable element of peace, Gulf officials have elevated a legal standard that Iran is now deploying with precision. This is not merely about assigning blame for specific incidents; it is about establishing a precedent for how accountability is adjudicated in regional conflicts. If the international community accepts that states can be held liable for enabling attacks launched from their territory, then every Gulf capital that hosted U.S. aircraft, shared intelligence, or provided logistical support becomes a potential defendant in Iran's counterclaim.


Moreover, the broader context matters. The war on Iran has been widely criticized by international legal scholars and human rights organizations as lacking clear authorization under the U.N. Charter, raising questions about its legality under international law. If the conflict itself is deemed an illegal use of force, then states that facilitated it may bear heightened responsibility for resulting damages. Iran's diplomatic offensive, framed in the language of state responsibility and good neighborliness, seeks to capitalize on this ambiguity. By demanding compensation from the UAE, Tehran is not only seeking redress for specific strikes but also challenging the legitimacy of the entire military campaign waged against it.

Accountability Must Be Reciprocal to Be Credible

The UAE's call for Iranian reparations is understandable from a national interest perspective: Gulf states have borne real costs from the conflict, including damage to infrastructure, disruption to energy markets, and threats to civilian safety. Nonetheless, credibility in demanding accountability requires consistency in applying its principles. International law does not permit states to claim the benefits of legal norms while evading their burdens. If the UAE wishes to hold Iran accountable for attacks launched from its territory, it must also accept accountability for enabling attacks launched through its territory.

For policymakers in Washington, Riyadh, Abu Dhabi, and beyond, this moment presents a choice: double down on selective justice and risk legitimizing Iran's counterclaims, or embrace a more reciprocal framework for accountability that acknowledges the complex interdependencies of modern warfare. In an era where transactional diplomacy increasingly shapes geopolitical outcomes, the most sustainable path forward may be one that recognizes a simple truth: the logic used to claim reparations can, and will, be used to claim them in return. The UAE's demand for Iranian compensation has not only opened the door to Iran's counterclaim—it has handed Tehran the legal keys to walk through it. As the region grapples with the aftermath of conflict, the principle of reciprocal accountability may prove to be the only foundation durable enough to support a lasting peace.

Update (3/30):

Trump likely to ask Arab states to pay for war, and that may include compensation for Iran: 




Friday, March 27, 2026

How Gulf Resource Wealth Fuels Ambition—and Vulnerability

    Friday, March 27, 2026   No comments

 Glass Houses in the Desert

In the geopolitics of the Middle East, few phenomena are as striking as the outsized influence wielded by two small Gulf states: Qatar and the United Arab Emirates. Both nations have leveraged immense wealth derived from the rapid extraction of finite natural resources to project power far beyond their borders. As regional tensions escalate, the very strategies that elevated them are exposing profound vulnerabilities. Their glass towers of influence, built on sand and hydrocarbons, are proving fragile when the desert winds of conflict blow hard.

Qatar's transformation from a modest peninsula emirate into a global diplomatic player rests largely on its vast natural gas reserves. Since the 1990s, Doha has channelled this wealth into a sophisticated strategy of soft power projection, with the Al Jazeera Media Network as its centerpiece. Founded to give Arab audiences a platform free from state-controlled narratives, Al Jazeera quickly became something more: an instrument of Qatari foreign policy, amplifying voices and stories that aligned with Doha's strategic interests.

For decades, the network shaped Arab public opinion, particularly during the Arab Spring, when its coverage of Islamist movements resonated with Qatar's political alignments. But this instrumentalization of media has increasingly drawn scrutiny. In early 2026, Al Jazeera faced a significant credibility test during heightened tensions between Iran and the United States. The channel was accused of sidelining voices supportive of Tehran while platforming analysts who called for targeting Iranian civilians—a stance that sparked widespread criticism across the Arab street.

The controversy forced a visible recalibration. By late March, Al Jazeera began restoring previously muted voices and reducing its focus on Iran-focused content, signaling an attempt to repair its reputation as an impartial platform. Analysts who had made inflammatory remarks defended themselves by claiming their comments were taken out of context, but the episode underscored a broader dilemma: when a media outlet is perceived as an instrument of statecraft rather than journalism, its credibility becomes collateral damage in geopolitical disputes.

As one commentator observed, the contemporary Arab consciousness has moved beyond the era of untouchable icons. For Qatar, the lesson is clear: media influence built on perceived bias can backfire, eroding the very soft power it was meant to generate. When audiences sense that "the opinion and the other opinion" is merely a slogan rather than a principle, trust evaporates—and with it, influence.

Most recent coverage show the trend of selective reporting by aljazeera persists: it shields the Guld states and Qatar rulers.

Noramlly, media organizations bear a fundamental responsibility to provide audiences with complete, contextualized information. When coverage systematically omits facts that conflict with the interests of a network's funders, that responsibility is compromised. Al Jazeera's reporting on former President Trump's recent speech regarding Iran offers a compelling case study in how state-funded media can shape narratives through strategic omission.

According to multiple social media reports and regional coverage, Trump explicitly praised Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE as "excellent" and "incredible" partners during his remarks at the Future Investment Initiative summit in Miami. He reportedly acknowledged their support for U.S. military attack on Iran—a significant geopolitical development given these states' desire to avoid public association with what many international observers deem an illegal war. Al Jazeera Arabic article summarizing the speech highlighted Trump's criticism of NATO allies while making no mention of his gratitude toward Gulf partners. This selective framing is not incidental; it aligns precisely with Qatar's diplomatic interests in maintaining plausible deniability regarding its regional military posture.

This pattern reflects broader structural realities. Al Jazeera receives the vast majority of its budget from the Qatari government, and while the network asserts editorial independence, former correspondents have publicly cited Qatari influence over coverage decisions. Research from independent media watchdogs notes that Al Jazeera's English-language coverage has routinely engaged in narratives that question U.S. strategic motives while promoting perspectives aligned with Doha's foreign policy. When reporting on Gulf-U.S. coordination against Iran, the network faces an inherent conflict: acknowledging overt Gulf support for American military action would undermine Qatar's carefully cultivated image as a neutral mediator.

The consequences extend beyond a single omitted quote. By emphasizing Trump's NATO criticisms while silencing his Gulf acknowledgments, Al Jazeera's coverage subtly reinforces a narrative that isolates Western alliances while normalizing Gulf states' behind-the-scenes military involvement. This serves Doha's foreign policy objectives but deprives audiences of the full picture necessary for informed judgment about regional power dynamics.

Media bias is rarely about fabrication; it is more often about curation—what to include, what to emphasize, and what to omit. In an era of complex geopolitical conflicts, audiences deserve transparency about the interests shaping their news. When state-funded outlets like Al Jazeera omit facts that inconvenience their patrons, they do not merely report the news; they participate in its construction. Recognizing these patterns is not an attack on any single network, but a necessary step toward demanding journalism that serves truth over patronage.


The United Arab Emirates has pursued a different, more militarized path to regional influence. Like Qatar, the UAE's wealth stems from hydrocarbon extraction—but at a pace that raises serious sustainability concerns. The rapid depletion of finite oil and gas reserves, without adequate investment in post-hydrocarbon economies, risks mortgaging the future for present-day ambition.

Abu Dhabi has deployed this wealth to build an extensive network of military and political influence across the Middle East and Africa. The UAE has been deeply involved in conflicts in Libya, Yemen, Sudan, and Somalia, often backing proxy forces to advance its strategic interests. In Libya, it provided critical air support and equipment to eastern-based factions. In Sudan, it faces repeated allegations—denied by officials—of arming and funding paramilitary groups accused of atrocities. Sudan has even filed a case against the UAE at the International Court of Justice, accusing it of complicity in grave human rights violations.

These interventions have yielded mixed results. While the UAE has secured strategic footholds, such as ports and military bases, its activism has also generated significant backlash. Traditional Gulf partners have grown uncomfortable with Emirati policies that appear to undermine regional stability. In Yemen, Saudi-backed forces actively curtailed advances by UAE-aligned militias, demonstrating that Gulf partnerships are not immune to friction.

Moreover, when Iran's foreign minister accused Gulf states hosting U.S. forces of covertly encouraging attacks on Iranians, it underscored how entangled these small states have become in great-power conflicts. When Iran launched drone strikes against Bahrain, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and the UAE in early 2026, it highlighted the vulnerability of even the wealthiest Gulf capitals to asymmetric retaliation. Power projection, it turns out, invites counter-pressure.

Glass Houses at the Mercy of Regional Security Fractures

Both Qatar and the UAE have built literal and figurative glass houses—spectacular skylines, global business hubs, and diplomatic networks that project an image of invincibility. These achievements rest on a foundation of regional stability that is increasingly precarious.

Dubai, marketed as the business center of the world, exemplifies this paradox. In early 2026, as tensions with Iran escalated, the emirate faced an unprecedented economic shock: stock markets were suspended, hotel bookings plummeted, and critical port operations halted after missile debris caused fire damage. An estimated tens of billions in wealth that flowed into Dubai in recent years now faced the risk of exodus, with charter jets reportedly sold out as wealthy residents sought safer havens.

The attacks on iconic locations directly challenge the security narrative that attracted global capital. While Dubai's economy is heavily diversified—with oil accounting for a minimal share of GDP—its reputation as a safe, neutral hub depends on perceptions of stability that conflict can quickly erode. When investors weigh risk, glass towers can cast long shadows.

The sustainability question extends beyond economics. Gulf states' rapid extraction of oil and gas, without sufficient investment in renewable alternatives or economic diversification, poses long-term risks. While natural resource rents boost short-term growth, they can exacerbate inequality and delay necessary structural reforms. For nations whose populations are predominantly young, the intergenerational equity implications are profound: wealth generated today may come at the cost of environmental degradation and economic fragility tomorrow.

Both Qatar and the UAE appear to be learning that influence projection carries inherent risks. Al Jazeera's editorial adjustments in early 2026 suggest an awareness that perceived bias can undermine media credibility. Similarly, the UAE's public denials of involvement in sensitive conflicts and its emphasis on humanitarian aid reflect an effort to manage diplomatic fallout.

Adaptation requires more than rhetoric. For Qatar, it means grappling with the tension between state interests and journalistic integrity. Can a media network truly serve as a global beacon of free expression while advancing a single government's agenda? For the UAE, it entails reassessing whether military interventions in distant conflicts truly serve long-term national interests—or simply entangle the country in intractable disputes that drain resources and generate enemies.

The broader lesson for resource-rich small states is that wealth alone cannot guarantee security or influence. When regional order fractures, the very assets that symbolize power—skyscrapers, media networks, overseas bases—can become liabilities. Ambiguity in foreign policy invites escalation; perceived partiality erodes trust; and economic hubs dependent on perceptions of stability are vulnerable to regional shocks.


Qatar and the UAE have achieved remarkable feats: transforming desert outposts into global nodes of finance, media, and diplomacy. Their use of natural resource wealth to punch above their weight is a masterclass in strategic statecraft. But the events of early 2026 reveal the limits of this model.

Media influence built on perceived bias invites backlash. Military interventions in fragile states can generate blowback. Economic hubs dependent on perceptions of stability are vulnerable to regional shocks. And the rapid extraction of finite resources, without sustainable planning, mortgages the future.

The glass houses of the Gulf are not destined to become ruins of the desert. But they will endure only if their builders recognize that true resilience requires more than wealth—it demands legitimacy, sustainability, and a commitment to the stability of the region they seek to lead. In an era of escalating tensions, that lesson may be the most valuable resource of all.

For two small states that have leveraged hydrocarbon wealth to shape the fate of nations, the path forward is clear: influence without accountability is fragile; power without prudence is perilous. The desert remembers what the glass forgets—that foundations matter more than facades, and that lasting influence is built not on extraction, but on trust.

  


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