Showing posts with label Global Security. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Global Security. Show all posts

Saturday, March 14, 2026

Media review: Asymmetric Resistance and the Limits of American Power in the War on Iran

    Saturday, March 14, 2026   No comments

The Driver and the Machine


You can have the fastest car in the world, but if you are an average or poor driver, you won't be able to win the race. This analogy captures the strategic dilemma facing the Trump administration in its war on Iran, but it also reveals a deeper truth about the nature of modern conflict. There is no dispute that the U.S. military is the most powerful in the world—indeed, as the agency with the largest budget outside entitlement programs, it is the most armed, lethal, and destructive machine in human history. Yet, military capability alone does not guarantee strategic success. A military is only as effective as the political leadership that sets its goals, strategy, and timeline. Outcomes are determined not by raw power, but by the wisdom, foresight, and skill of those who wield it.


However, to view this conflict solely through the lens of American "victory" or "defeat" is to adopt a biased framework that ignores the agency, resilience, and strategic logic of the defender. In asymmetric warfare, the definition of victory is not symmetrical. For the aggressor, victory often means total domination, regime change, or the complete neutralization of a threat. For the defender, particularly a nation facing an existential threat from a superpower, victory is defined simply by survival. If the Iranian state remains standing, its institutions functioning, and its core sovereignty intact despite the onslaught of the world's most powerful military, then from Tehran's perspective, the aggression has already failed. This essay reviews media stories to examine the gap between tactical success and strategic failure, arguing that the inability of the United States to achieve its maximalist objectives speaks less to American weakness and more to the enduring power of resistance against overwhelming force.

The Aggressor's Dilemma: Seven Pillars of Strategic Stalemate


Analysts from CNN, Al Jazeera, and The Independent have identified at least seven interlocking reasons why the United States has not achieved a decisive victory, despite inflicting significant physical damage. These factors highlight the limits of kinetic power when divorced from political reality.

1. The Strait of Hormuz: The Weaponization of Geography

Iran's closure of the Strait of Hormuz transformed a military confrontation into a global economic crisis. While the U.S. Navy possesses unmatched firepower, reopening the Strait by force presents extraordinary risks. More importantly, Iran’s ability to hold the world’s energy supply hostage demonstrates that a regional power can leverage geography to offset conventional military inferiority. Even if the U.S. forcibly reopens the channel, the requirement for a permanent, resource-intensive naval presence signifies a strategic drain, not a victory.

2. The Resilience of the Iranian State

The assassination of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei was intended to catalyze regime collapse. Instead, the swift appointment of Mojtaba Khamenei as successor signaled institutional continuity. Far from sparking the popular uprising Trump anticipated, the attacks appear to have reinforced the regime's narrative of external aggression. From Tehran’s viewpoint, the survival of the leadership structure amidst decapitation strikes is a testament to the depth of the state’s roots and a defeat for the U.S. objective of regime change.

3. Divergent Timelines and Alliance Friction

While Trump seeks a swift, politically marketable conclusion, Israel views security as a perpetual struggle. This misalignment complicates the U.S. exit strategy. Iran, conversely, operates on a timeline of generations. By absorbing the initial shock and prolonging the conflict, Tehran exploits the short-term political cycles of Western democracies, betting that American public patience will erode before Iranian resolve does.

4. The Unresolved Nuclear Question

Despite claims that U.S. strikes have "obliterated" Iran's nuclear program, international reports suggest Tehran retains stocks of highly enriched uranium. The inability to physically locate and destroy every gram of fissile material—a task requiring high-risk ground operations—means the core nonproliferation objective remains unfulfilled. The latent capacity to reconstitute the program remains a powerful deterrent and a symbol of technological resilience.

5. The Absence of Internal Collapse

Trump’s rhetoric framed the war as a liberation effort, expecting Iranians to rise up. No such uprising materialized. Instead, the security apparatus maintained control. This disconnect undermines the moral narrative of the intervention. For Iran, the lack of internal fracture despite massive external pressure validates the state’s claim to represent a significant portion of national sentiment, or at least its ability to enforce unity in the face of foreign invasion.


6. Regional Escalation as a Force Multiplier

The conflict has spilled beyond Iran’s borders, with Hezbollah, Iraqi militias, and Houthi forces intensifying operations. This "Axis of Resistance" strategy effectively expands the battlefield, stretching U.S. resources thin across multiple fronts. For Iran, activating these proxies transforms a bilateral conflict into a regional war of attrition, a domain where the superpower’s technological edge is diluted by the sheer complexity of the theater.

7. Domestic and Economic Blowback

Rising fuel prices and economic uncertainty have begun to erode U.S. public support. Unlike the post-9/11 rally effect, the war on Iran has generated immediate domestic pain. Iran’s strategy of targeting global energy markets directly impacts the American voter, turning the war’s cost into a political liability for the aggressor.

The Defender’s Perspective: Victory Through Survival and Resistance

To understand the full scope of this conflict, one must shift the perspective from Washington to Tehran. In the annals of military history, from Vietnam to Afghanistan, a consistent pattern emerges: when a superpower fails to achieve its rapid, decisive objectives against a determined regional actor, the defender claims a strategic victory.

For Iran, the metrics of success are fundamentally different. They do not need to invade the United States, sink its carrier groups, or bomb Washington D.C. to "win." Their objective is negative: to prevent the positive objectives of the aggressor.

  • Did the U.S. topple the government? No.
  • Did the U.S. permanently disarm Iran? No.
  • Did the U.S. force unconditional surrender? No.

By these measures, Iran has succeeded. The mere fact that the Islamic Republic continues to function, issue commands, and project power through its proxies after weeks of intense bombardment by the world's sole superpower is, in itself, a profound statement of resilience. As noted by The Independent, the war has exposed the limits of air power; bombs can destroy buildings, but they cannot easily destroy a political will forged in decades of isolation and perceived existential threat.

The Moral and Political Dimension

From the Iranian perspective, this war validates the doctrine of "resistance" (muqawama). The narrative that a smaller nation can stand toe-to-toe with the "Great Satan" and survive serves as a powerful ideological tool, not just domestically, but across the Global South. It challenges the notion of American invincibility. When the Wall Street Journal reports that U.S. bases in Saudi Arabia have been struck and tankers seized, it highlights that Iran retains the capacity to inflict pain, raising the cost of aggression to unacceptable levels.

Furthermore, the failure of the U.
S. to spark an internal revolution suggests that the American understanding of Iranian society was flawed. By underestimating the cohesion of the Iranian state—even among those who may disagree with the government—the U.S. played into the hands of hardliners who could point to the bombing raids as proof that the West seeks destruction, not democracy. In this light, every day the regime survives is a propaganda victory that offsets the physical damage inflicted by U.S. ordnance.

The Economic Counter-Strike

Iran’s decision to close the Strait of Hormuz and potentially trade oil in Yuan rather than dollars is not just a tactical move; it is a strategic challenge to the global order dominated by the U.S.. By threatening the global economy, Iran demonstrates that in an interconnected world, a regional power holds leverage that can paralyze a superpower. The resulting spike in gas prices in the U.S. serves as a tangible reminder to the American public that the war is not a distant video game, but a reality with immediate consequences. This economic resistance acts as a check on unlimited military escalation.

The Strategic Paradox: Truth vs. Narrative

The central paradox of this conflict is the divergence between the narrative of victory and the reality of stalemate. President Trump’s declaration—"We won, in the first hour"—stands in stark contrast to the unfolding reality of a widening war, rising costs, and an unyielding adversary (CNN).

This dissonance highlights a critical lesson: Truth has a way of offsetting oppressive and lies-driven actions. No amount of rhetorical flourish can permanently mask the facts on the ground:

  • The truth is that the Strait remains closed.
  • The truth is that Iranian missiles are still flying.
  • The truth is that the regime has not fallen.
  • The truth is that the American public is feeling the pinch at the pump.

When an aggressor relies on a narrative of easy victory that contradicts the lived experience of soldiers, civilians, and markets, the credibility of the leadership erodes. The "fog of war" eventually lifts, revealing that the "fastest car" has been driven into a ditch by a driver who refused to read the map.

For Iran, the "truth" of their survival is their strongest weapon. It proves that military superiority is not absolute. It demonstrates that a nation with fewer resources, if unified by a cause of national defense and equipped with asymmetric strategies, can blunt the spear of empire. This does not mean Iran is without suffering; the humanitarian cost, warned of by the WHO, is tragic and severe (Al Jazeera). But in the cold calculus of strategic objectives, the survival of the state against such odds redefines the balance of power in the Middle East.

The Endurance of the Defended

The war on Iran underscores a fundamental principle of statecraft that the Trump administration appears to have overlooked: the most powerful military in history cannot compensate for unclear objectives, unrealistic expectations, or the underestimation of an opponent’s will to resist.

Viewing the conflict fairly requires acknowledging that while the U.S. may claim tactical successes in destroying specific targets, it faces a strategic failure in achieving its overarching goals. Conversely, Iran, despite suffering immense physical damage and humanitarian hardship, has achieved a form of victory through endurance. By refusing to collapse, by keeping its command structure intact, and by leveraging its geographic and asymmetric advantages to impose heavy costs on the aggressor, Iran has demonstrated that resistance is a viable strategy against superior firepower.

Ultimately, the outcome of this war will not be decided by the tonnage of bombs dropped, but by the political staying power of the participants. If the United States withdraws without having achieved regime change or permanent disarmament, history will likely record this not as an American victory, but as another chapter in the long saga of imperial overreach meeting the unyielding wall of national resistance. In the race between the fast car and the skilled, determined driver who knows the terrain, the latter often finds a way to block the road. The truth of that resilience is the ultimate counterweight to the illusion of dominance.



Monday, March 02, 2026

Media Review: How a Unilateral Strike on Iran Threatens the Foundations of Global Order

    Monday, March 02, 2026   No comments

In the predawn darkness of late February 2026, the world watched as two allied powers crossed a threshold from which there may be no return. The United States and Israel launched a coordinated military assault on Iran, targeting not merely military installations but the very heart of its political leadership. Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed. Dozens of senior officials perished. A school in southern Iran was struck, claiming the lives of children. And with that single act of force, the fragile architecture of international law—built painstakingly in the ashes of two world wars—began to crack.

This was not a defensive action. It was not a response to an imminent attack. By the admission of Pentagon officials themselves, there was no intelligence suggesting Iran was preparing to strike first. There were no smoking guns, no intercepted orders, no imminent threat that satisfied even the most permissive interpretations of self-defense under international law. What there was, instead, was a decision: a choice to act unilaterally, to bypass the United Nations, to abandon ongoing diplomacy, and to assert through force what could not be achieved through law.

The consequences of that choice ripple far beyond the Middle East. They strike at the heart of global economic stability and the security structures that have, however imperfectly, prevented great-power war for eight decades.

The Economic Precipice

The Strait of Hormuz is not merely a geographic feature; it is an artery of the global economy. Roughly twenty percent of the world's oil supply passes through its narrow waters. When Iran signals that US bases in the region will remain targets unless removed, and when retaliatory strikes already echo across Gulf states, the market does not hesitate. Oil prices surge. Shipping insurers recalculate risk. Supply chains tremble.

But the economic vulnerability runs deeper. The attack has shattered confidence in the predictability of international relations. Investors do not fear conflict alone; they fear the arbitrariness of conflict. When the world's most powerful military alliance demonstrates that it will act without legal authorization, without transparent evidence, and without regard for diplomatic process, the foundation of long-term planning erodes. Contracts become riskier. Capital becomes cautious. The delicate machinery of global trade, which depends on stable rules and predictable behavior, begins to seize.

Consider the ripple effects: European economies still recovering from energy shocks now face renewed uncertainty. Asian manufacturing hubs dependent on Middle Eastern energy confront potential disruption. Emerging markets, already strained by debt and inflation, brace for capital flight. This is not speculation; it is the logical consequence of replacing law with might. When force becomes the first resort rather than the last, every nation must prepare for a world where power, not principle, dictates outcomes.

The Collapse of Security Architecture

The United Nations Charter was designed precisely to prevent what has now occurred: unilateral wars of choice justified by self-defined threats. Its prohibition on the use of force, except in self-defense against an actual armed attack or with Security Council authorization, was not an idealistic aspiration. It was a hard-learned lesson from centuries of catastrophic war.

By acting outside this framework, the US and Israel have not merely violated a treaty; they have undermined the very logic of collective security. If powerful states can decide for themselves what constitutes a threat, when diplomacy has failed, and when force is justified, then the Charter becomes optional—a suggestion for the weak, a constraint to be ignored by the strong.

The precedent is perilous. What prevents other nuclear-armed powers from adopting the same logic? What stops regional rivals from citing this attack as justification for their own preventive strikes? The non-proliferation regime, already strained, faces existential doubt: if diplomatic engagement can be aborted by military action at any moment, why would any state relinquish its deterrent capabilities?

Even alliances are fracturing. Spain has refused to allow its bases to be used for further attacks. France has called for Security Council debate. Oman, which mediated talks, has condemned the abandonment of diplomacy. This is not mere disagreement; it is a recognition that the attack threatens the cohesion of the very partnerships that underpin global security. When allies begin to distance themselves from unilateral aggression, the foundation of collective defense weakens.

The Sovereignty Double Standard: A Self-Condemnation in Plain Sight

Nowhere is the incoherence of the attackers' position more starkly revealed than in their response to Iran's retaliation. Hours after Iranian forces struck back against military assets and logistics centers used in the initial assault, the United States issued a joint statement with Bahrain, Jordan, Kuwait, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates. The declaration denounced Iran's actions in unequivocal terms: "These unjustified strikes targeted sovereign territory, endangered civilian populations, and damaged civilian infrastructure."

The statement is remarkable not for what it says, but for what it omits. There is no mention of Iran's sovereignty. No acknowledgment that the strikes Iran retaliated against were launched against its territory, its leadership, and its civilian infrastructure. No reference to the school hit in southern Iran, or to the assassination of a leader of state during ongoing diplomatic talks. The principle of sovereignty—so fiercely invoked when convenient—is silently abandoned when it protects the vulnerable rather than the powerful.

This is not diplomacy. It is not law. It is a performative contradiction that reasonable observers recognize for what it is: a self-condemnation. To attack a sovereign nation without authorization, then invoke that same sovereignty to condemn the victim's response, is not a coherent legal position. It is an admission that the rules apply only in one direction. It reveals a worldview in which sovereignty is not a universal right, but a privilege granted selectively by those with the power to enforce their preferences.

The danger of this double standard extends far beyond rhetoric. It erodes the foundational doctrine of non-aggression that has, however imperfectly, served as a brake on endless war. That doctrine holds that peace is not the absence of conflict among the powerful, but the presence of equal protection under law for all nations. When that principle is fractured—when aggression is legitimized for some and criminalized for others—the entire edifice of international order begins to tilt.

The Rhetoric of Supremacy

Perhaps the most dangerous element of this crisis is not the bombs themselves, but the language used to justify them. "We did not start this war," declared a senior US official, moments before adding, "We set the terms of this war from start to finish." This is not contradiction; it is doctrine. It is the assertion that the United States reserves the right to define reality—to decide when a conflict begins, who is an aggressor, and what constitutes legitimate self-defense—regardless of evidence, international consensus, or the sovereignty of others.

This rhetoric reveals a deeper assumption: that certain lives matter less than others. When Iranian officials are targeted and killed, it is framed as necessary counterterrorism. When Iranian civilians die, including children in a school strike, it is regrettable but incidental. When Iran retaliates against military bases, it is condemned as indiscriminate escalation. The asymmetry is not accidental; it is ideological. It treats the sovereignty and security of non-Western nations as inherently subordinate to the strategic preferences of imperial powers.

Such thinking is not new. It is the character of empires throughout history: the belief that their interests are universal, their actions inherently legitimate, and their victims collateral to a greater good. But in a world of nuclear weapons, interconnected economies, and rising multipolarity, this arrogance is not merely morally bankrupt—it is existentially dangerous.

Law or Chaos?

Iran has made its position clear: US bases in the region will remain targets unless removed. Retaliation will continue. The cycle of violence is accelerating, not because diplomacy failed, but because it was deliberately abandoned. Every missile launched, every base struck, every civilian casualty deepens the crisis and narrows the space for de-escalation.

The international community now faces a stark choice. It can accept the normalization of unilateral preventive war, allowing might to supersede law and setting a precedent that will inevitably be used against weaker states—and eventually, against the powerful themselves. Or it can reaffirm the principles that have, however imperfectly, maintained a measure of order: that sovereignty matters, that evidence must precede action, that diplomacy must be exhausted, and that the use of force requires collective legitimacy.

The double standard exposed in the wake of Iran's retaliation is not a minor diplomatic inconsistency. It is a reminder that the principle of non-aggression cannot be a selective doctrine. Peace cannot be secured by granting some nations the right to attack while denying others the right to defend. If sovereignty is to mean anything, it must mean the same thing for Tehran as it does for Washington, for Riyadh as for Ramallah.

The stakes could not be higher. This is not merely a regional conflict. It is a test of whether the post-1945 international system can survive the actions of those who helped create it. If the rules apply only when convenient to the powerful, they are not rules. They are suggestions. And a world governed by suggestions, rather than law, is a world where every dispute becomes a potential catalyst for catastrophe.

The attack on Iran was more than a military operation. It was a statement: that some nations believe they stand above the law. The question now is whether the rest of the world will accept that premise—or whether it will defend the fragile, essential idea that no state, however powerful, is entitled to wage war by its own decree. 

Friday, November 21, 2025

Witkoff's Peace Proposal Aimed at Ending the War in Ukraine

    Friday, November 21, 2025   No comments

In a dramatic and highly controversial initiative that has reignited global debate over the future of Ukraine and European security, real estate magnate and Trump adviser Steven Witkoff has unveiled a comprehensive peace proposal aimed at ending the war in Ukraine. First reported by The Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg, and The New York Times in late November 2025, the 28-point plan — dubbed “Witkoff’s Peace Proposal” — presents a sweeping, U.S.-mediated framework that would require profound concessions from both Ukraine and the West, while offering Russia significant strategic and economic rewards.

At its heart, Witkoff’s proposal seeks to freeze the conflict on terms that would effectively legitimize Russia’s territorial gains while embedding Ukraine into a new, constrained security architecture.

The plan begins with a rhetorical affirmation of Ukraine’s sovereignty — a necessary fig leaf for Western audiences — but quickly pivots to concrete measures that would permanently alter Ukraine’s geopolitical trajectory. Most notably, Ukraine would be constitutionally barred from joining NATO, and NATO would formally pledge never to extend membership to Kyiv. In return, NATO would agree not to station troops or military infrastructure on Ukrainian soil — a direct reversal of current Western policy.

To ensure compliance, the proposal calls for a U.S.-mediated Russia–NATO security dialogue, a U.S.–Russia working group to monitor adherence, and the legal codification of Russian non-aggression pledges toward Ukraine and Europe. Simultaneously, Ukraine’s armed forces would be capped at 600,000 troops — a significant reduction from its current mobilized strength — and it would remain a non-nuclear state, reinforcing its dependence on Western security guarantees rather than self-reliance.

Territorial Concessions: The De Facto Recognition of Annexation

The most contentious element of the proposal lies in its territorial provisions. Ukrainian forces would withdraw from remaining Kyiv-held areas of Donetsk, creating a demilitarized buffer zone that would be “recognized as Russian territory.” While the proposal claims both sides will “not change territorial arrangements by force,” critics argue this is a de facto international recognition of Russia’s illegal annexations of Donetsk, Luhansk, Zaporizhzhia, and Kherson — territories seized since 2014 and fully occupied since 2022.

This concession, if implemented, would mark the largest territorial realignment in Europe since the end of World War II — and would fundamentally undermine the post-Cold War order built on the principle that borders cannot be changed by force.

Economic Engine: Frozen Assets as Reconstruction Fuel

Witkoff’s economic plan is equally ambitious. It proposes using $100 billion of frozen Russian assets — held primarily in Western banks — to fund Ukraine’s reconstruction, with the U.S. receiving 50% of the profits generated from those assets. Europe would contribute an additional $100 billion. The remainder of frozen Russian funds would be redirected to joint U.S.–Russia investment projects, signaling a dramatic thaw in economic relations.

The proposal further calls for Russia’s phased reintegration into the global economy, including an invitation to rejoin the G8 — a move that would reverse the Western diplomatic isolation imposed after the 2014 annexation of Crimea. Russia would also guarantee Ukraine’s free commercial use of the Dnieper River and establish agreements on Black Sea grain exports — critical for global food security.


Humanitarian and Political Measures: Elections and Amnesty

On the humanitarian front, the proposal includes a humanitarian committee to oversee prisoner exchanges, repatriation of civilians, and family reunifications — widely welcomed by international NGOs. It also mandates that Ukraine hold elections within 100 days of signing the agreement and grants full wartime amnesty to all parties, including Russian soldiers and Ukrainian collaborators — a provision that has drawn sharp criticism from human rights advocates.


Enforcement: Trump at the Helm

Perhaps the most politically explosive feature is the proposal’s enforcement mechanism: a “Peace Council” chaired by former President Donald Trump, empowered to impose sanctions or penalties for violations. This unprecedented role for a private citizen — and a former U.S. president with known pro-Russia leanings — has drawn bipartisan alarm in Washington. Critics warn it would undermine international law and institutional legitimacy, turning diplomacy into a personal project.


Reactions: Polarization Across the Globe

Reactions have been sharply divided. In Kyiv: Ukrainian officials have called the plan “a surrender disguised as peace,” warning it would cement Russian occupation and betray Ukraine’s sacrifices. President Zelenskyy’s office stated, “No peace that requires Ukraine to abandon its sovereignty or future in Europe can be legitimate.”


In Moscow: Russian state media hailed the proposal as “a realistic and dignified path forward,” with Foreign Ministry spokesperson Maria Zakharova calling it “the first serious Western acknowledgment of Russia’s security needs.”

In Brussels and Washington: NATO allies expressed deep skepticism. German Chancellor Olaf Scholz said the plan “violates the spirit of the UN Charter,” while U.S. Senator Bob Menendez called it “a dangerous appeasement that would embolden authoritarianism.” However, some conservative voices in the U.S., including former Trump officials, have praised it as “pragmatic statecraft.”

In Global South: Many non-aligned nations welcomed the economic reintegration of Russia, seeing it as a step toward multipolarity — but questioned why Ukraine bore the full cost of peace.

Witkoff’s proposal is not a negotiation — it is a blueprint for a new European order, one in which military conquest is rewarded with economic rehabilitation and strategic legitimacy. It offers Ukraine security guarantees but at the cost of its sovereignty, neutrality, and future aspirations.

While it may offer a path to an immediate ceasefire — and relief for millions of war-weary civilians — it does so by codifying the results of aggression. As one European diplomat told Reuters: “This isn’t peace. It’s the institutionalization of defeat.”

Whether the proposal gains traction — particularly with Trump’s potential return to the White House in 2025 — remains uncertain. But one thing is clear: Witkoff has forced the world to confront an uncomfortable question: At what price do we end a war — and what kind of world do we create when we do?

Source: The Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg, The New York Times, Reuters, and BBC as of November 20–21, 2025.

   

Wednesday, October 29, 2025

Russia’s Nuclear-Powered Missile Rewrites Global Security

    Wednesday, October 29, 2025   No comments

When President Vladimir Putin announced that Russia’s Burevestnik had completed a 15-hour, 14,000-kilometer flight, the message was unmistakable: Moscow had achieved what others abandoned decades ago—a nuclear-powered cruise missile capable of circling the globe. By marrying compact nuclear propulsion with stealthy, low-altitude flight, Burevestnik promises endurance beyond any conventional weapon and an ability to bypass existing missile defenses.

The implications are stark. Strategically, Burevestnik upends the logic of mutual deterrence. Its unpredictable trajectories compress warning times and could destabilize crisis decision-making. Legally, the missile sits in a treaty gray zone, likely outside New START’s limits, potentially igniting a new arms race in exotic propulsion and sensor-evading systems. Environmentally, it revives long-dormant fears of nuclear contamination should a test or mission fail.

For Moscow, Burevestnik symbolizes technological defiance and ensures that no adversary can strike Russia without risking annihilation in return. For the rest of the world, it is a reminder that the nuclear age is far from over—and that deterrence is entering a more volatile, less predictable phase, where the line between deterrence and disaster grows dangerously thin.

Putin's recent statements on this matter:

Putin stated that the "Burevestnik" has unconditional advantages, Russia can be proud of the achievements of scientists

The nuclear power part of the "Burevestnik" is 1000 times smaller than the nuclear reactor of a nuclear submarine with comparable power, Putin said.

He added that the nuclear reactor installed in the missile starts within minutes and seconds.

The nuclear technologies used in the "Burevestnik" will be used in the lunar program, Putin stated.

In addition, according to him, Russia will be able to apply these technologies in the national economy.

...

Given the fact that this is a new development and no information is in the public domain, here is an analysis that might shed some light and insight.

Wednesday, October 01, 2025

Trump signs order EO considering any attack on Qatar as security threat to US--Israel’s Strike on Qatar Shakes US Credibility in the Gulf

    Wednesday, October 01, 2025   No comments

The United States has long positioned itself as the primary security guarantor for Gulf states, but that image has been severely shaken following Israel’s unprecedented strike on Doha earlier this month. Despite Qatar’s role as host to the largest US military installation in the Middle East, and despite decades of close security cooperation, Israel—a close American ally—was able to carry out an attack on Qatari soil with no immediate US response.

The incident rattled regional leaders and raised difficult questions: if Washington cannot—or will not—restrain Israel from striking a partner it formally protects, how reliable can its security assurances really be?

In an effort to repair the damage, President Donald Trump this week signed an executive order declaring that “any armed attack on the territory, sovereignty, or critical infrastructure of the State of Qatar” will be treated as a direct threat to the peace and security of the United States. The order commits Washington to take all “lawful and appropriate measures”—including diplomatic, economic, and if necessary, military action—to defend both American and Qatari interests.

The timing was no accident. The decree came just three weeks after Israel’s air strikes targeting Hamas leaders in Qatar, an operation that provoked outrage in Doha and embarrassment in Washington. While Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has since issued a rare apology to Qatar, the episode left a lingering sense that US security guarantees may be more fragile than Gulf states had assumed.

At stake is not just the bilateral relationship with Qatar, but the broader credibility of the United States as the cornerstone of Gulf security. For years, Washington’s promise of protection has been central to its influence in the region, countering both Iranian power and the growing appeal of alternative security partners such as China and Russia. The failure to prevent or deter the Israeli strike cut to the heart of that credibility.

Complicating matters further is the ongoing war in Gaza. Qatar has played a key mediating role in negotiations, including talks aimed at securing a ceasefire and addressing the humanitarian crisis. If Washington, working through Doha, can help deliver a viable and lasting deal, it could partially repair the trust eroded by Israel’s attack. Such success would reaffirm the US as not only a military protector, but also as a diplomatic broker capable of shaping outcomes in the region.

But the risks are equally stark. If a Gaza deal collapses or fails to halt the bloodshed, the damage to Washington’s standing could be irreparable. Gulf leaders may conclude that the United States lacks both the will and the leverage to restrain its own allies, let alone manage conflicts across the Middle East.

The executive order signed by Trump is therefore more than a symbolic gesture toward Qatar. It is a test of whether American promises still carry weight in a region where credibility is everything—and where one misstep can reshape alliances for decades to come.

Media reaction and analysis:

Israeli Media noted the changed posture and connected it to the Gaza plan. Israel's Channel 12 correspondent and Axios reporter Barak Ravid says the US will 'dramatically upgrade' its commitment to Qatar's security:

  • "As part of the initiative to end the war in Gaza and as compensation to Qatar for the Israeli strike in Doha, President Trump signed a presidential decree on Monday that dramatically upgrades the US commitment to Qatar’s security. This marks an unprecedented security agreement between the US and an Arab state."
  •  "According to the presidential decree, published today, 'The United States will regard any armed attack on the territory, sovereignty, or critical infrastructure of the State of Qatar as a threat to the peace and security of the United States.'
  •  "The decree further states: 'In the event of such an attack, the United States will take all lawful and appropriate measures, including diplomatic, economic, and, if necessary, military, to protect the interests of the United States and the State of Qatar and to restore peace and stability.'

Monday, September 29, 2025

Grassroots Resistance and Diplomatic Shifts Challenge Israel’s War on Gaza

    Monday, September 29, 2025   No comments

As Israel’s war on Gaza enters its most devastating phase yet, a powerful wave of international opposition is surging—not just in diplomatic corridors, but in the streets, ports, and parliaments of nations once considered unwavering allies. From dockworkers in Genoa to government ministers in Madrid, and even within the shifting sands of U.S. politics, the world is increasingly refusing to be complicit in what many now describe as a humanitarian catastrophe.

Dockworkers as Defenders of Conscience


In a striking display of moral solidarity, port workers in Genoa, Italy, have thrown their weight behind the Global Solidarity Flotilla—a civilian maritime initiative aiming to break Israel’s blockade of Gaza. These workers, part of a broader European network of port laborers, are no longer content to stand by as their infrastructure facilitates what they see as war crimes.

“We want to be on the right side of history,” declared Riccardo Rodino, a veteran dockworker and leader of the Genoa Port Laborers’ Assembly (CALP), in an interview with Politico. “We don’t have tanks or missiles. Our bodies—and our ability to halt shipments—are our only weapons.”

Their stance is not symbolic. Following drone attacks on flotilla vessels last week, Italian dockworkers issued a stark warning: any further aggression against humanitarian ships will trigger a general strike. Italy’s largest trade union, CGIL, has pledged full support, vowing to shut down commerce tied to Israel if the flotilla is harmed. “If Israel doesn’t change course in Gaza,” Rodino warned, “a full commercial blockade will be imposed. There is no other way.”

This grassroots mobilization reflects a broader awakening across Europe, where ordinary citizens are leveraging their economic power to demand accountability—proving that resistance to injustice isn’t confined to politicians or diplomats, but lives in the hands of those who keep global trade moving.

Spain Draws a Red Line on U.S. Arms Transfers

Meanwhile, Spain has taken a bold sovereign stand that challenges even its closest military ally: the United States. According to El País, the Spanish government has blocked American military aircraft and vessels carrying weapons destined for Israel from using two key U.S.-operated bases on Spanish soil—Rota in Cádiz and Morón de la Frontera in Seville.

Crucially, this ban applies not only to shipments directly bound for Israel but also to those using third countries as transit points. Spanish authorities emphasized that these bases remain under full Spanish sovereignty and are “not an open corridor without oversight.” The move forced the U.S. to reroute F-35 fighter jets through the Azores—a logistical detour that underscores Madrid’s newfound willingness to assert ethical boundaries over military convenience.

This decision is more than procedural; it’s political. It signals that even NATO allies are no longer willing to serve as silent conduits for arms fueling destruction in Gaza. In doing so, Spain joins a growing list of European nations reevaluating their complicity in Israel’s military campaign.

Diplomatic Earthquake: Allies Recognize Palestine

The diplomatic landscape is shifting just as dramatically. In a historic break from decades of Western alignment with Israel, countries including the UK, France, Canada, and Australia have officially recognized Palestinian statehood—a move Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu denounced as a “disgraceful decision” that rewards Hamas.

Yet this recognition is less about Hamas and more about acknowledging the untenable status quo. With over 40,000 Palestinians killed and much of Gaza reduced to rubble, the moral calculus has changed. Public outrage, amplified by relentless documentation of civilian suffering, has pressured governments to act.

Even in Washington, the ground is trembling. Former President Donald Trump—no stranger to hardline pro-Israel positions—is now hosting Netanyahu at the White House to pitch a “Gaza peace plan,” reportedly backed by key Arab states like Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and Egypt. While Trump frames it as a grand “Middle East peace” initiative, the urgency is unmistakable: Israel is facing unprecedented isolation, and its most vital ally is scrambling to broker an exit before global patience runs out.

The People’s Leverage

What unites these disparate actions—from Genoa’s docks to Madrid’s defense ministry—is a shared conviction: silence equals complicity. Workers, governments, and citizens are realizing that economic and political leverage can be wielded not just by states, but by collectives who refuse to normalize atrocity.

As Rodino poignantly put it, “Obstructing shipments is the people’s weapon.” And it’s proving effective. Every blocked arms shipment, every threatened strike, every diplomatic recognition chips away at the architecture of impunity that has long shielded Israel’s military campaign.

The war on Gaza may continue, but it no longer enjoys the blanket global acquiescence it once did. A new coalition—forged in ports, parliaments, and public squares—is rising. And it is saying, with growing force: Enough.

Followers


Most popular articles


ISR +


Frequently Used Labels and Topics

40 babies beheaded 77 + China A Week in Review Academic Integrity Adana Agreement afghanistan Africa African Union al-Azhar Algeria Aljazeera All Apartheid apostasy Arab League Arab nationalism Arab Spring Arabs in the West Armenia Arts and Cultures Arts and Entertainment Asia Assassinations Assimilation Azerbaijan Bangladesh Belarus Belt and Road Initiative Brazil BRI BRICS Brotherhood CAF Canada Capitalism Caroline Guenez Caspian Sea cCuba censorship Central Asia Charity Chechnya Children Rights China Christianity CIA Civil society Civil War climate colonialism communication communism con·science Conflict conscience Constitutionalism Contras Corruption Coups Covid19 Crimea Crimes against humanity D-8 Dearborn Debt Democracy Despotism Diplomacy discrimination Dissent Dmitry Medvedev Earthquakes Economics Economics and Finance Economy ECOWAS Education and Communication Egypt Elections energy Enlightenment environment equity Erdogan Europe Events Fatima FIFA FIFA World Cup FIFA World Cup Qatar 2020 Flour Massacre Food Football France Freedom freedom of speech G20 G7 Garden of Prosperity Gaza GCC GDP Genocide geopolitics Germany Global Security Global South Globalism globalization Greece Grozny Conference Hamas Health Hegemony Hezbollah hijab Hiroshima History and Civilizations Human Rights Huquq Ibadiyya Ibn Khaldun ICC Ideas IGOs Immigration Imperialism In The News india Indonesia inequality inflation INSTC Instrumentalized Human Rights Intelligence Inter International Affairs International Law Iran IranDeal Iraq Iraq War ISIL Islam in America Islam in China Islam in Europe Islam in Russia Islam Today Islamic economics Islamic Jihad Islamic law Islamic Societies Islamism Islamophobia ISR MONTHLY ISR Weekly Bulletin ISR Weekly Review Bulletin Italy Japan Jordan Journalism Kenya Khamenei Kilicdaroglu Kurdistan Latin America Law and Society Lebanon Libya Majoritarianism Malaysia Mali mass killings Mauritania Media Media Bias Media Review Middle East migration Military Affairs Morocco Multipolar World Muslim Ban Muslim Women and Leadership Muslims Muslims in Europe Muslims in West Muslims Today NAM Narratives Nationalism NATO Natural Disasters Nelson Mandela NGOs Nicaragua Nicaragua Cuba Niger Nigeria Normalization North America North Korea Nuclear Deal Nuclear Technology Nuclear War Nusra October 7 Oman OPEC+ Opinion Polls Organisation of Islamic Cooperation - OIC Oslo Accords Pakistan Palestine Peace Philippines Philosophy poerty Poland police brutality Politics and Government Population Transfer Populism Poverty Prison Systems Propaganda Prophet Muhammad prosperity Protests Proxy Wars Public Health Putin Qatar Quran Rachel Corrie Racism Raisi Ramadan Ramadan War Regime Change religion and conflict Religion and Culture Religion and Politics religion and society Resistance Rights Rohingya Genocide Russia Salafism Sanctions Saudi Arabia Science and Technology SCO Sectarianism security Senegal Shahed sharia Sharia-compliant financial products Shia Silk Road Singapore Slavery Soccer socialism Southwest Asia and North Africa Sovereignty Space War Spain Sports Sports and Politics Starvation State Power State Terror Sudan sunnism Supremacism SWANA Syria Ta-Nehisi Coates terrorism Thailand The Koreas Tourism Trade transportation Tunisia Turkey Turkiye U.S. Cruelty U.S. Foreign Policy UAE uk ukraine UN under the Rubble UNGA United States UNSC Uprisings Urban warfare US Foreign Policy US Veto USA Uyghur Venezuela Volga Bulgaria Wadee wahhabism War War and Peace War Crimes Wealth and Power Wealth Building West Western Civilization Western Sahara WMDs Women women rights Work Workers World and Communities Xi Yemen Zionism

Search for old news

Find Articles by year, month hierarchy


AdSpace

_______________________________________________

Copyright © Islamic Societies Review. All rights reserved.